Bis 2025 Triennial Survey Forex Turnover by Currency Pair Guide, Covering Meaning, Use Cases, Evaluation, and Risks

The BIS 2025 Triennial Survey represents the most authoritative snapshot of global foreign exchange market activity. This guide unpacks the survey's methodology, key findings on currency pair turnover, practical applications for market participants, and the critical considerations when interpreting this influential data set.

πŸ“˜ 1. Meaning & Overview

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Triennial Survey of Foreign Exchange and Over-the-Counter (OTC) Derivatives Markets is the most comprehensive and widely cited source of data on global forex market size, structure, and activity. Conducted every three years since 1989, the survey collects detailed turnover data from central banks and other reporting institutions, covering spot, forward, and swap transactions across more than 50 jurisdictions.

The 2025 edition continues this rich tradition, providing critical insights into the evolving dynamics of the world's largest and most liquid financial market. The survey's breakdown of turnover by currency pair offers a granular view of which currencies dominate global trading, how these patterns have shifted over time, and what these shifts imply for market participants, policymakers, and investors.

πŸ“Œ Source-backed note: The Bank for International Settlements is recognized as the international organization of central banks. Its Triennial Survey methodology is publicly documented and is considered the gold standard for forex market data. The Federal Reserve and other central banks rely on BIS data for policy analysis and financial stability monitoring. Readers are encouraged to consult the official BIS publications for the most current data and methodological notes.

βš™οΈ 2. How the Survey Works

Understanding the methodology of the BIS Triennial Survey is essential for properly interpreting its findings and avoiding common analytical pitfalls.

2.1 Data Collection and Reporting

The survey is conducted during a single month β€” typically April of the survey year β€” to capture a representative snapshot of market activity. Central banks and monetary authorities in participating countries collect data from the largest financial institutions operating within their jurisdictions. These institutions include commercial banks, investment banks, hedge funds, and other reporting dealers.

The BIS aggregates the national-level data to produce a global total, applying adjustments to eliminate double-counting and ensure consistency across reporting jurisdictions. The resulting dataset provides estimates of gross turnover (the total value of all transactions) and net turnover (adjusted for inter-dealer double-counting) across different instruments and currency pairs.

2.2 Instruments Covered

The survey captures turnover across three main instrument categories:

For the currency pair turnover breakdown, the BIS reports the notional value of transactions in each pair, expressed in US dollars. The data is presented both in absolute terms (billions of USD) and as a percentage of total global turnover.

2.3 Geographical Coverage

The 2025 survey includes reporting from more than 50 countries, covering all major financial centers including London, New York, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore, Zurich, and Frankfurt. The survey's global reach ensures that the data reflects trading activity across all time zones and market segments.

πŸ“Š 3. Key Currency Pair Turnover Findings

While final detailed results for the 2025 survey are typically released in September of the survey year, preliminary data and historical trends provide a strong indication of the major currency pair rankings. Based on the BIS's historical data and early releases for 2025, the following patterns emerge.

πŸ“‹ Preview of 2025 Currency Pair Rankings (Preliminary)

EUR/USD: Remains the undisputed leader, with an estimated 24% share of global turnover, representing daily average trading volumes exceeding USD 1.2 trillion. The pair's dominance reflects the economic weight of the eurozone and the US, as well as its role as the primary vehicle for speculative and hedging activity.

USD/JPY: Holds the second position with approximately 13% of total turnover. The yen's role as a safe-haven currency and Japan's large export sector contribute to sustained trading interest.

GBP/USD: Retains third place with about 10% share, driven by London's position as the world's premier forex trading hub and the pound's historical role as a major reserve currency.

USD/CNY (offshore): Continues its steady rise, now accounting for approximately 5–6% of global turnover, reflecting China's growing economic influence and the internationalization of the renminbi.

AUD/USD and USD/CAD: Each hold around 4–5% of the market, driven by commodity trade flows and cross-border investment.

Emerging market pairs: Pairs involving currencies such as the Mexican peso (MXN), South African rand (ZAR), and Turkish lira (TRY) continue to increase in share, though they remain relatively small compared to major pairs.

βœ… Important: These figures are based on preliminary data and historical trends. The final BIS 2025 survey results, when released, may show slight variations. Always refer to the official BIS publication for the definitive data.

πŸ’Ό 4. Use Cases & Practical Applications

The BIS Triennial Survey data on currency pair turnover has a wide range of practical applications for different market participants.

4.1 For Institutional Investors

Asset managers, pension funds, and hedge funds use the data to assess market liquidity and depth. A currency pair with high turnover typically offers lower transaction costs, tighter spreads, and greater price stability β€” all critical factors for executing large trades without significant market impact.

4.2 For Corporate Treasurers

Multinational corporations rely on turnover data to select the most liquid and cost-effective currency pairs for their hedging programs. High-turnover pairs like EUR/USD and USD/JPY provide better pricing and more efficient execution for forward contracts and swaps.

4.3 For Central Banks and Policymakers

The survey is an essential tool for monitoring financial stability and assessing the resilience of currency markets. Changes in the composition of turnover can signal shifts in trading patterns, the rise of new financial centers, or potential vulnerabilities in specific currencies.

4.4 For Retail Traders

While the data is primarily institutional, retail traders can benefit from understanding which pairs are most liquid. Focusing on the top pairs β€” EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD β€” typically means tighter spreads and more predictable price behavior, which is especially advantageous for short-term trading strategies.

4.5 For Academic Research

The survey provides a rich dataset for economic and financial research, enabling studies on market microstructure, the impact of regulatory changes, and the relationship between exchange rate volatility and turnover.

πŸ” 5. How to Evaluate & Interpret the Data

Interpreting the BIS survey data requires a nuanced understanding of its context, methodology, and potential limitations. Below are key criteria to consider.

5.1 Consider the Instrument Breakdown

Turnover is reported across spot, forward, swap, and option instruments. For a currency pair, the relative composition of these instruments can provide insights into market sentiment and usage. For example, a high proportion of forward and swap activity may indicate strong hedging demand, while high spot activity may reflect speculative interest.

5.2 Compare with Previous Surveys

The most valuable insights often come from comparing the current survey with previous editions. Trends in currency pair share reveal the gradual erosion or growth of a currency's global significance. For instance, the rising share of USD/CNY across the 2019–2025 period reflects China's sustained economic trajectory and the gradual liberalization of its capital account.

5.3 Account for Reporting Differences

Different reporting jurisdictions may have varying thresholds for inclusion, and some smaller institutions may not be captured. While the BIS applies rigorous adjustments, the survey remains a sample rather than a complete census of all OTC activity.

⚠️ Source-backed note: The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the National Futures Association (NFA) provide additional data on retail forex activity in the United States. Unlike the BIS survey, CFTC data focuses on registered retail forex dealers and includes customer positions rather than institutional turnover. Both sources are complementary and should be used together for a complete picture of the market.

πŸ“Š 6. Comparison Table

The table below compares the major currency pairs based on their estimated turnover share, typical spread, liquidity profile, and primary driver of trading activity.

Currency Pair Est. Share (2025) Typical Spread (EUR/USD ref.) Liquidity Profile Primary Drivers
EUR/USD ~24% 0.6–1.0 pips (interbank) Extremely high Economic data, monetary policy, geopolitics
USD/JPY ~13% 0.8–1.2 pips Very high BoJ policy, risk sentiment, US yields
GBP/USD ~10% 0.9–1.4 pips Very high BoE policy, Brexit developments, UK data
USD/CNY (offshore) ~5–6% 3–5 pips (CNH market) Moderate PBOC policy, trade flows, capital controls
AUD/USD ~4–5% 1.2–1.8 pips High Commodity prices, RBA policy, China data
USD/CAD ~4% 1.2–1.8 pips High Oil prices, BoC policy, US-Canada trade

Note: Spreads and share estimates are indicative and may vary by broker and market conditions. Always refer to the official BIS 2025 survey release for definitive turnover data.

βœ… 7. Practical Checklist

When using BIS Triennial Survey data for research, investment, or business decisions, follow this checklist to ensure a thorough and accurate interpretation.

🧩 8. Common Misconceptions

❌ Mistake #1: β€œThe BIS survey captures all forex trading activity.”

The survey captures a significant majority of global activity but is not a complete census. Retail forex trading, smaller institutional transactions, and some OTC activity may be underreported. The BIS itself acknowledges that its data is a sample-based estimate and publishes confidence intervals and methodological notes on coverage.

❌ Mistake #2: β€œA high turnover share means a currency is a good investment.”

Turnover reflects trading activity, not the underlying strength or attractiveness of a currency. High turnover pairs are typically more liquid and have tighter spreads, but they are not necessarily better investments. Investment decisions should be based on macroeconomic fundamentals, interest rate differentials, and risk assessment, not turnover data alone.

❌ Mistake #3: β€œThe survey data can predict future exchange rate movements.”

The survey is a historical snapshot of past activity. While it can inform market structure analysis and liquidity assessments, it does not have predictive power for future price movements. Exchange rates are influenced by a complex interplay of economic data, policy decisions, and market sentiment.

❌ Mistake #4: β€œAll currency pairs are equally liquid because they are included in the survey.”

The survey includes many currency pairs, but liquidity varies enormously. The top three pairs (EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD) account for nearly 50% of all turnover. Less liquid pairs like USD/TRY or USD/ZAR have much wider spreads and are more susceptible to price shocks. The survey's breakdown by pair explicitly highlights these differences.

⚠️ 9. Risks & Limitations

🚨 Key Limitations and Risks

While the BIS Triennial Survey is the most authoritative source of forex data, it has inherent limitations that users must consider to avoid misapplication.

  • Sampling period bias: The survey is conducted in a single month (April), which may not be representative of the full year. Seasonal factors, holiday patterns, or economic shocks can skew the data.
  • Reporting gaps: Not all institutions report, and some jurisdictions may have incomplete coverage. While the BIS makes adjustments, these are estimates.
  • Focus on institutional activity: The survey primarily captures interbank and institutional trading, with limited coverage of retail forex activity. The CFTC's retail forex data is a better source for retail-specific analysis in the US.
  • Revisions and uncertainty: The BIS often revises data after the initial publication as more reports are received. Users should check for the most recent version.
  • Exchange rate fluctuations: Turnover is reported in US dollars, so exchange rate movements between the survey date and the time of analysis can affect comparisons.
πŸ“Œ Source-backed note: The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) and the Federal Reserve provide guidance on the use of OTC market data for risk management and investment analysis. They emphasize that while the BIS survey is a critical resource, it should be used in conjunction with other market intelligence and not as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always verify current market conditions and relevant regulations with the appropriate authorities.

Risk Controls When Using Survey Data

❓ 10. Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the BIS Triennial Survey?
The BIS Triennial Survey is a comprehensive global survey conducted by the Bank for International Settlements every three years. It collects detailed data on foreign exchange market activity, including turnover by currency pair, instrument, and geographical location, from central banks and market participants worldwide.
Q: Which currency pair had the highest turnover in the 2025 survey?
Based on historical trends and the 2025 preliminary data, EUR/USD remained the most actively traded currency pair, accounting for roughly 24% of global forex turnover. USD/JPY and GBP/USD followed as the second and third most traded pairs, consistent with previous survey cycles.
Q: How is turnover measured in the BIS survey?
Turnover is measured as the notional value of all spot, forward, and swaps transactions reported by participating financial institutions during the survey month (typically April). The data is reported in US dollars and is adjusted for double-counting to provide a net global total.
Q: What are the key uses of the BIS Triennial Survey data?
The data is used by central banks to monitor market structure, by institutional investors for asset allocation and risk assessment, by policymakers to evaluate financial stability, and by academics for research on market efficiency and liquidity dynamics.
Q: How reliable is the BIS Triennial Survey data?
The BIS survey is considered the gold standard for forex market data due to its rigorous methodology and broad participation from central banks and major financial institutions. However, it remains a sample-based estimate and may not capture all over-the-counter activity. The BIS continuously refines its methodology and publishes detailed notes on data limitations.
Q: What are the limitations of the BIS survey data?
Limitations include: the survey is conducted over a single month (April) and may not represent year-round activity; reporting is voluntary and may be incomplete; smaller institutional and retail transactions are often excluded; and the data is subject to revisions as more complete reporting is received.
Q: How does the BIS survey differ from other forex data sources?
Unlike commercial data providers or electronic trading platform reports, the BIS survey collects data directly from central banks and major market participants, providing a more comprehensive and authoritative view of the global OTC forex market, including non-electronic and inter-dealer activity.
Q: Why is the EUR/USD pair consistently the most traded?
EUR/USD is the most traded currency pair due to the size of the eurozone and US economies, the depth and liquidity of the pair's market, its role as a benchmark for many other currency pairs, and its extensive use in global trade and financial transactions. It also serves as a primary vehicle for speculative and hedging strategies.

Disclaimer: This guide is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice. The BIS survey data and all related information should be verified directly with the Bank for International Settlements and other relevant authorities. Past turnover data does not guarantee future market conditions.